Pair #8483

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-ANOR

Will Alex Noren win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Alex Noren
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1246179

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Alex Noren wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-ANOR

The Masters: Will Alex Noren make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Alex Noren
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 9815

YES ask: 0.3300
NO ask: 0.7800
Last: 0.3300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Alex Noren has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:35:40Z

Reasoning: If Noren wins the Masters, he must have made the cut to compete in the final rounds. Winning implies making the cut. Making the cut does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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