Pair #8463

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-JOK

The Masters: Will John Keefer finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: John Keefer
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 2567

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1600

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Rules

If John Keefer finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP40-MAST26-JKEE

The Masters: Will John Keefer finish top 40?

Series: KXPGATOP40
Entity: John Keefer
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 784

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If John Keefer finishes in the top 40 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:34:59Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 necessarily means finishing top 40. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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