Pair #8462

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-JOK

The Masters: Will John Keefer finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: John Keefer
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 2567

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If John Keefer finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-JKEE

The Masters: Will John Keefer make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: John Keefer
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 14275

YES ask: 0.3800
NO ask: 0.6800
Last: 0.3800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If John Keefer has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:34:59Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 requires completing the tournament, which means having made the cut. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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