Pair #8461

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-JKEE

Will John Keefer win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: John Keefer
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1159972

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

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Rules

If John Keefer wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP40-MAST26-JKEE

The Masters: Will John Keefer finish top 40?

Series: KXPGATOP40
Entity: John Keefer
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 784

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If John Keefer finishes in the top 40 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:34:59Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters means finishing 1st, which is within the top 40. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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