Pair #8450

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-MHO

The Masters: Will Mason Howell finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Mason Howell
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 3456

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1000

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Rules

If Mason Howell finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-MHOW

The Masters: Will Mason Howell make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Mason Howell
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 26438

YES ask: 0.1500
NO ask: 0.9100
Last: 0.1500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Mason Howell has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:34:32Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 requires completing all four rounds, which means making the cut. The reverse does not hold: making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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