Pair #8448

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAPLAYERCAT-MAST26AMAT-MHOW

Will Mason Howell finish as the top Amateur golfer in the tournament?

Series: KXPGAPLAYERCAT
Entity: Mason Howell
Expiration: 2026-04-13T00:00:00Z
Volume: 31363

YES ask: 0.2000
NO ask: 0.8300
Last: 0.2000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Mason Howell records the lowest total strokes among all Amateur golfers who complete the full tournament of the 2026 Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-MHOW

Will Mason Howell win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Mason Howell
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 601551

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Mason Howell wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: need more info
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:34:32Z

Reasoning: If Mason Howell is an amateur, winning the Masters would likely make him the top amateur, but it depends on whether he is actually an amateur and whether other amateurs complete the tournament. If he is not an amateur, no implication exists. Need to confirm his amateur status.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.8310
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue