Pair #8443

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-MAST26-WYC

The Masters: Will Wyndham Clark finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Wyndham Clark
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 15259

YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 0.9700
Last: 0.0500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Wyndham Clark finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-WCLA

The Masters: Will Wyndham Clark make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Wyndham Clark
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 6877

YES ask: 0.8800
NO ask: 0.1700
Last: 0.8500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Wyndham Clark has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:34:32Z

Reasoning: If Wyndham Clark finishes top 5, he must have made the cut — you cannot finish in the top 5 without surviving the cut. The reverse does not hold: making the cut does not guarantee a top 5 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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