Pair #8439

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-WYC

The Masters: Will Wyndham Clark finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Wyndham Clark
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 38388

YES ask: 0.5400
NO ask: 0.4700
Last: 0.5400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Wyndham Clark finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-WCLA

The Masters: Will Wyndham Clark make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Wyndham Clark
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 6877

YES ask: 0.8800
NO ask: 0.1700
Last: 0.8500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Wyndham Clark has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:34:08Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 requires completing all four rounds, which requires making the cut. Making the cut does not imply finishing top 20.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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