Pair #8418

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-RFOX

Will Ryan Fox win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Ryan Fox
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 775874

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ryan Fox wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-RYF

The Masters: Will Ryan Fox finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Ryan Fox
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 3025

YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ryan Fox finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:33:28Z

Reasoning: If Ryan Fox wins the Masters, he finishes 1st, which is necessarily a top 10 finish. The reverse does not hold — finishing top 10 does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue