Pair #8384

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-ETF

The Masters: Will Ethan Fang finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Ethan Fang
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 7094

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900

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Rules

If Ethan Fang finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-EFAN

The Masters: Will Ethan Fang make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Ethan Fang
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 13608

YES ask: 0.5000
NO ask: 0.5300
Last: 0.5000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ethan Fang has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:32:48Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 at the Masters requires completing all four rounds, which means making the cut. However, making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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