Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOUR-MAST26-BCAM
Will Brian Campbell win the Masters Tournament?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Brian Campbell
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1755692
YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Brian Campbell wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOP20-MAST26-BRC
The Masters: Will Brian Campbell finish top 20?
Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Brian Campbell
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 49545
YES ask: 0.2000
NO ask: 0.8100
Last: 0.2000
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Brian Campbell finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:32:08Z
Reasoning: Winning the Masters means finishing 1st, which is necessarily within the top 20. The reverse does not hold.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.2000
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A