Pair #8344

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-MAST26-ADS

The Masters: Will Adam Scott finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Adam Scott
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 28423

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Adam Scott finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-ADS

The Masters: Will Adam Scott finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Adam Scott
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 63874

YES ask: 0.1400
NO ask: 0.8700
Last: 0.1300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Adam Scott finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:31:32Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 necessarily means finishing top 20. The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not imply top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue