Pair #8340

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-ADS

The Masters: Will Adam Scott finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Adam Scott
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 27706

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Adam Scott finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-ADS

The Masters: Will Adam Scott finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Adam Scott
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 63874

YES ask: 0.1400
NO ask: 0.8700
Last: 0.1300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Adam Scott finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:31:32Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20. The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not imply top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue