Pair #8336

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-ASCO

Will Adam Scott win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Adam Scott
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 3469868

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

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Rules

If Adam Scott wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAPLAYERCAT-MAST26APAC-ASCO

Will Adam Scott finish as the top Asian/Oceanic golfer in the tournament?

Series: KXPGAPLAYERCAT
Entity: Adam Scott
Expiration: 2026-04-13T00:00:25.427Z
Volume: 7033

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Adam Scott records the lowest total strokes among all Asian/Oceanic golfers who complete the full tournament of the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:31:32Z

Reasoning: If Adam Scott wins the Masters (lowest strokes overall), he must have the lowest strokes among any subset of players including Asian/Oceanic golfers, assuming he qualifies as Asian/Oceanic (he is Australian). The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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