Pair #8325

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-DAR

The Masters: Will Davis Riley finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Davis Riley
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 2416

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1000

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Rules

If Davis Riley finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-DRIL

The Masters: Will Davis Riley make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Davis Riley
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 7557

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Davis Riley has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:31:10Z

Reasoning: If Davis Riley finishes top 20, he must have made the cut to complete the tournament. A top 20 finish logically necessitates making the cut.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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