Pair #8323

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-DRIL

Will Davis Riley win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Davis Riley
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 213709

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

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Rules

If Davis Riley wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-DRIL

The Masters: Will Davis Riley make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Davis Riley
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 7557

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Davis Riley has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:31:10Z

Reasoning: If Davis Riley wins the Masters, he must have made the cut to play all four rounds. Winning necessitates making the cut.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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