Pair #8321

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-DRIL

Will Davis Riley win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Davis Riley
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 213709

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

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Rules

If Davis Riley wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-DAR

The Masters: Will Davis Riley finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Davis Riley
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 2416

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Davis Riley finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:30:54Z

Reasoning: If Davis Riley wins the Masters, he finishes 1st, which is within the top 20. Finishing top 20 does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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