Pair #8319

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-KREI

Will Kristoffer Reitan win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Kristoffer Reitan
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 2424815

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kristoffer Reitan wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP5-MAST26-KRR

The Masters: Will Kristoffer Reitan finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Kristoffer Reitan
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 2812

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kristoffer Reitan finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:30:54Z

Reasoning: If Reitan wins the Masters, he finishes 1st, which is within the top 5. Finishing top 5 does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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