Pair #8315

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR2LEAD-MAST26-ACAB

Will Angel Cabrera lead at the end of Round 2 in the The Masters?

Series: KXPGAR2LEAD
Entity: Angel Cabrera
Expiration: 2026-04-26T23:00:00Z
Volume: 902

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Angel Cabrera is the leader at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-ACAB

The Masters: Will Angel Cabrera make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Angel Cabrera
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 5022

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Angel Cabrera has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:30:54Z

Reasoning: If Cabrera leads at the end of R2, he has completed R2 and the cut is made after R2, so he necessarily makes the cut. Making the cut does not imply leading after R2.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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