Pair #8313

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-ANC

The Masters: Will Angel Cabrera finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Angel Cabrera
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 5098

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Angel Cabrera finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-ACAB

The Masters: Will Angel Cabrera make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Angel Cabrera
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 5022

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Angel Cabrera has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:30:54Z

Reasoning: If Cabrera finishes top 20, he must have made the cut to play all four rounds. Making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish, so only one direction holds.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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