Pair #8310

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-ACAB

Will Angel Cabrera win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Angel Cabrera
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 68038

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Angel Cabrera wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-ACAB

The Masters: Will Angel Cabrera make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Angel Cabrera
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 5022

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Angel Cabrera has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:30:36Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters requires completing all four rounds, which necessitates making the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not guarantee winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue