Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOUR-MAST26-ACAB
Will Angel Cabrera win the Masters Tournament?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Angel Cabrera
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 68038
YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Angel Cabrera wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOP20-MAST26-ANC
The Masters: Will Angel Cabrera finish top 20?
Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Angel Cabrera
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 5098
YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Angel Cabrera finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:30:36Z
Reasoning: Winning the Masters means finishing 1st, which is necessarily within the top 20. The reverse does not hold.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.0600
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A