Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOP5-MAST26-KEB
The Masters: Will Keegan Bradley finish top 5?
Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Keegan Bradley
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 3417
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Keegan Bradley finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-KBRA
The Masters: Will Keegan Bradley make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Keegan Bradley
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 4768
YES ask: 0.9000
NO ask: 0.1500
Last: 0.8200
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Keegan Bradley has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:30:18Z
Reasoning: If Bradley finishes top 5, he necessarily made the cut. The reverse does not hold: he could make the cut but finish outside the top 5.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.9000
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A