Pair #8293

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-KEB

The Masters: Will Keegan Bradley finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Keegan Bradley
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 4497

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Keegan Bradley finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-KBRA

The Masters: Will Keegan Bradley make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Keegan Bradley
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 4768

YES ask: 0.9000
NO ask: 0.1500
Last: 0.8200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Keegan Bradley has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:30:18Z

Reasoning: If Bradley finishes top 20, he necessarily made the cut (you cannot finish in the top 20 at the end of the tournament without having survived the cut). The reverse does not hold: he could make the cut but finish outside the top 20.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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