Pair #8286

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-KBRA

Will Keegan Bradley win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Keegan Bradley
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 2071417

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

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Rules

If Keegan Bradley wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-KBRA

The Masters: Will Keegan Bradley make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Keegan Bradley
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 4768

YES ask: 0.9000
NO ask: 0.1500
Last: 0.8200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Keegan Bradley has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:29:59Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters requires completing all rounds, which means the player must have made the cut. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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