Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOUR-MAST26-VSIN
Will Vijay Singh win the Masters Tournament?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Vijay Singh
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 109595
YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Vijay Singh wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAPLAYERCAT-MAST26APAC-VSIN
Will Vijay Singh finish as the top Asian/Oceanic golfer in the tournament?
Series: KXPGAPLAYERCAT
Entity: Vijay Singh
Expiration: 2026-04-13T00:00:25.427Z
Volume: 11520
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0800
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Vijay Singh records the lowest total strokes among all Asian/Oceanic golfers who complete the full tournament of the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: medium
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:28:39Z
Reasoning: If Vijay Singh wins The Masters (lowest total strokes overall), he necessarily has the lowest total strokes among any subset of players including Asian/Oceanic golfers, so he would be the top Asian/Oceanic finisher — assuming he qualifies as Asian/Oceanic (he is Fijian, which is Oceanic) and completes the full tournament. The reverse does not hold. Confidence is medium rather than high because it depends on Singh's regional classification being confirmed as Asian/Oceanic.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.0100
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A