Pair #8236

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-VSIN

Will Vijay Singh win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Vijay Singh
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 109595

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Vijay Singh wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-VIS

The Masters: Will Vijay Singh finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Vijay Singh
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 7560

YES ask: 0.0500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Vijay Singh finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:28:39Z

Reasoning: If Vijay Singh wins The Masters, he necessarily finishes in the top 20 (he finishes 1st). The reverse does not hold — finishing top 20 does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0500
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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