Pair #8201

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-ALP

The Masters: Will Aldrich Potgieter finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Aldrich Potgieter
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 7395

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Aldrich Potgieter finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-ALP

The Masters: Will Aldrich Potgieter finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Aldrich Potgieter
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 13068

YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Aldrich Potgieter finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:27:37Z

Reasoning: If Aldrich Potgieter finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20. The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not imply top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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