Pair #8200

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-APOT

Will Aldrich Potgieter win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Aldrich Potgieter
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 710628

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

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Rules

If Aldrich Potgieter wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-APOT

The Masters: Will Aldrich Potgieter make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Aldrich Potgieter
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 11760

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Aldrich Potgieter has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:27:37Z

Reasoning: If Aldrich Potgieter wins the Masters, he must have made the cut to play Rounds 3 and 4. The reverse does not hold — making the cut does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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