KXNFLAFCCHAMP-27-DEN
Will Denver win the Pro Football AFC Championship?
Series: KXNFLAFCCHAMP
Entity: Denver
Expiration: 2027-02-08T15:00:00Z
Volume: 222934
YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 0.9100
Last: 0.1000
KXNFLPLAYOFF-27-DEN
Will Denver be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers?
Series: KXNFLPLAYOFF
Entity: Denver
Expiration: 2027-01-11T15:00:00Z
Volume: 3687
YES ask: 0.5900
NO ask: 0.4200
Last: 0.5900
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:00:50Z
Reasoning: To win the AFC Championship, Denver must have qualified for and participated in the playoffs. So winning the AFC Championship logically necessitates being a playoff qualifier. The reverse does not hold.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
-44.29%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.5000
Days to maturity:
253
Hurdle yield:
4.28%
Excess yield:
-48.57%
BELOW HURDLE
Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-18T11:43:51Z