Pair #8183

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR2LEAD-MAST26-HLI

Will Hao-Tong Li lead at the end of Round 2 in the The Masters?

Series: KXPGAR2LEAD
Entity: Hao-Tong Li
Expiration: 2026-04-26T23:00:00Z
Volume: 3692

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Hao-Tong Li is the leader at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-HLI

The Masters: Will Hao-Tong Li make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Hao-Tong Li
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 4607

YES ask: 0.9300
NO ask: 0.1200
Last: 0.9000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Hao-Tong Li has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:27:19Z

Reasoning: At the Masters, the cut is made after Round 2. If a player is the leader at the end of Round 2, they have necessarily made the cut.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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