Pair #8180

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-HLI

Will Hao-Tong Li win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Hao-Tong Li
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 6135375

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 0.9920
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Hao-Tong Li wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-HLI

The Masters: Will Hao-Tong Li make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Hao-Tong Li
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 4607

YES ask: 0.9300
NO ask: 0.1200
Last: 0.9000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Hao-Tong Li has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:27:19Z

Reasoning: To win the Masters, a player must complete all four rounds, which requires making the cut. Winning necessarily implies making the cut.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.9220
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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