KXPGAR1LEAD-MAST26-SGAR
Will Sergio Garcia lead at the end of Round 1 in the The Masters?
Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Sergio Garcia
Expiration: 2026-04-26T23:00:00Z
Volume: 24118
YES ask: 0.0050
NO ask: 0.9980
Last: 0.0050
KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-SGAR
The Masters: Will Sergio Garcia make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Sergio Garcia
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 13056
YES ask: 0.8500
NO ask: 0.2000
Last: 0.8100
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:26:57Z
Reasoning: If Garcia leads after Round 1, he has completed Round 1 and will play Round 2 (the cut is made after Round 2). Leading after R1 means he is in the field and will play R2, and a Round 1 leader would virtually always make the cut. However, strictly speaking, leading after R1 does not logically necessitate making the cut — he could withdraw or have a catastrophic R2. But by competition rules, a player who leads R1 is still subject to the cut after R2. Actually, leading R1 does NOT logically necessitate making the cut; they could shoot a very high score in R2 and miss the cut. No implication holds.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.8480
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A
Not yet reviewed.
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