Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOP5-MAST26-JAB
The Masters: Will Jacob Bridgeman finish top 5?
Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Jacob Bridgeman
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 35748
YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Jacob Bridgeman finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-JBRI
The Masters: Will Jacob Bridgeman make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Jacob Bridgeman
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 34578
YES ask: 0.9500
NO ask: 0.1000
Last: 0.9100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Jacob Bridgeman has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:26:21Z
Reasoning: If Bridgeman finishes top 5, he must have made the cut to complete all four rounds. However, making the cut does not necessitate finishing top 5.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.9500
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A