Pair #8140

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-JAB

The Masters: Will Jacob Bridgeman finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Jacob Bridgeman
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 116606

YES ask: 0.3600
NO ask: 0.6600
Last: 0.3600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jacob Bridgeman finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-JBRI

The Masters: Will Jacob Bridgeman make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Jacob Bridgeman
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 34578

YES ask: 0.9500
NO ask: 0.1000
Last: 0.9100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jacob Bridgeman has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:26:01Z

Reasoning: If Bridgeman finishes in the top 20 overall, he must have made the cut to play the final rounds. Making the cut does not imply finishing top 20.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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