Pair #8135

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-JAB

The Masters: Will Jacob Bridgeman finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Jacob Bridgeman
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 62747

YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jacob Bridgeman finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-JAB

The Masters: Will Jacob Bridgeman finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Jacob Bridgeman
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 116606

YES ask: 0.3600
NO ask: 0.6600
Last: 0.3600

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Jacob Bridgeman finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:26:01Z

Reasoning: If Bridgeman finishes in the top 10, he necessarily finishes in the top 20 as well. The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not imply top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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