Pair #8114

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-PAC

The Masters: Will Patrick Cantlay finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Patrick Cantlay
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 11512

YES ask: 0.5100
NO ask: 0.5000
Last: 0.5100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Patrick Cantlay finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-PAC

The Masters: Will Patrick Cantlay finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Patrick Cantlay
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 61061

YES ask: 0.8400
NO ask: 0.1900
Last: 0.8400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Patrick Cantlay finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:25:20Z

Reasoning: A top 10 finish is necessarily also a top 20 finish. The reverse does not hold — finishing between 11th and 20th would be top 20 but not top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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