KXNBAWEST-26-DEN
Will the Denver win the 2026 Pro Basketball Western Conference Championship?
Series: KXNBAWEST
Entity: Denver
Expiration: 2026-06-30T14:00:00Z
Volume: 1310279
YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.0500
KXNBAPLAYOFF-26-DEN
Pro Basketball Playoff Qualifiers Winner?
Series: KXNBAPLAYOFF
Entity: Denver
Expiration: 2026-04-18T14:00:00Z
Volume: 23009
YES ask: 1.0000
NO ask: 0.0100
Last: 0.9800
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:00:50Z
Reasoning: Winning the Western Conference Championship means Denver made the playoffs (you must be a playoff team to win the conference). So KXNBAWEST-26-DEN YES implies KXNBAPLAYOFF-26-DEN YES. The reverse does not hold: making the playoffs does not guarantee winning the conference.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
-99.98%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.9500
Days to maturity:
29
Hurdle yield:
4.22%
Excess yield:
-104.20%
BELOW HURDLE
Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-18T15:34:13Z