Pair #8072

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-MAST26-AKB

The Masters: Will Akshay Bhatia finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Akshay Bhatia
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 57511

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.0800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Akshay Bhatia finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-ABHA

The Masters: Will Akshay Bhatia make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Akshay Bhatia
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 15703

YES ask: 0.8800
NO ask: 0.1600
Last: 0.8400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Akshay Bhatia has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:24:27Z

Reasoning: If Akshay Bhatia finishes top 5 in the overall tournament, he must have made the cut (you cannot finish in the top 5 without having survived the cut). However, making the cut does not imply finishing top 5.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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