Pair #8060

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-AKB

The Masters: Will Akshay Bhatia finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Akshay Bhatia
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 77033

YES ask: 0.2100
NO ask: 0.8400
Last: 0.2000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Akshay Bhatia finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-AKB

The Masters: Will Akshay Bhatia finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Akshay Bhatia
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 133212

YES ask: 0.3800
NO ask: 0.6700
Last: 0.3800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Akshay Bhatia finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:24:07Z

Reasoning: If Bhatia finishes top 10, he is necessarily also top 20. The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not imply top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue