Pair #8040

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-ABHA

Will Akshay Bhatia win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Akshay Bhatia
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 7618694

YES ask: 0.0060
NO ask: 0.9950
Last: 0.0060

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Akshay Bhatia wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-AKB

The Masters: Will Akshay Bhatia finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Akshay Bhatia
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 133212

YES ask: 0.3800
NO ask: 0.6700
Last: 0.3800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Akshay Bhatia finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:23:25Z

Reasoning: If Akshay Bhatia wins the Masters, he finishes 1st, which is necessarily within the top 20. The reverse does not hold — finishing top 20 does not mean he wins.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.3750
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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