Pair #804

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-AEWA

Valspar Championship: Will A.J. Ewart make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: A.J. Ewart
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1378

YES ask: 0.6300
NO ask: 0.5000
Last: 0.4700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If A.J. Ewart makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-AEWA

Valspar Championship: Will A.J. Ewart finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: A.J. Ewart
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3643

YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If A.J. Ewart finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:09:39Z

Reasoning: Making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish, and finishing top 10 implies making the cut (not the other way around for this pair's direction check). Note: top 10 implies making the cut, but that relationship is covered by the reverse — here neither ticker is strictly the antecedent in a vacuum since the top 10 implying make cut direction would make KXPGATOP10 the antecedent, but that pair is already covered above. In this specific pair framing, KXPGATOP10 implies KXPGAMAKECUT.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.5700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue