Pair #803

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VAC26-AEWA

Will A.J. Ewart win the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: A.J. Ewart
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 22274

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If A.J. Ewart wins the Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-VAC26-AEWA

Valspar Championship: Will A.J. Ewart finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: A.J. Ewart
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3643

YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0500

View on Kalshi

Rules

If A.J. Ewart finishes top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:09:39Z

Reasoning: If Ewart wins the tournament, he finishes 1st, which is necessarily a top 10 finish. Finishing top 10 does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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