Pair #802

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-VAC26-AEWA

Will A.J. Ewart win the Valspar Championship?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: A.J. Ewart
Expiration: 2026-03-22T00:00:00Z
Volume: 22274

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If A.J. Ewart wins the Valspar Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-AEWA

Valspar Championship: Will A.J. Ewart make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: A.J. Ewart
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1378

YES ask: 0.6300
NO ask: 0.5000
Last: 0.4700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If A.J. Ewart makes the cut in the 2026 Valspar Championship golf tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:09:39Z

Reasoning: If Ewart wins the tournament, he must have made the cut to play the weekend and win. Making the cut does not imply winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue