Pair #7992

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-LABE

Will Ludvig Aberg win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Ludvig Aberg
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 10181182

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

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Rules

If Ludvig Aberg wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAPLAYERCAT-MAST26EUR-LABE

Will Ludvig Aberg finish as the top European golfer in the tournament?

Series: KXPGAPLAYERCAT
Entity: Ludvig Aberg
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:25.427Z
Volume: 26533

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ludvig Aberg records the lowest total strokes among all European golfers who complete the full tournament of the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:21:57Z

Reasoning: If Aberg wins the Masters outright (lowest total strokes overall), he necessarily has the lowest total strokes among European golfers as a subset. The reverse does not hold — being the top European does not mean winning the whole tournament.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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