Pair #7985

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-MAST26-SES

The Masters: Will Sepp Straka finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Sepp Straka
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 9955

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0900

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sepp Straka finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-SSTR

The Masters: Will Sepp Straka make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Sepp Straka
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 1398

YES ask: 0.8800
NO ask: 0.1900
Last: 0.9800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sepp Straka has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:21:35Z

Reasoning: To finish top 5, a player must complete all four rounds, which requires making the cut. The reverse is not true — making the cut does not guarantee a top 5 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue