Pair #7979

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-MAST26-SES

The Masters: Will Sepp Straka finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Sepp Straka
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 35001

YES ask: 0.3300
NO ask: 0.7100
Last: 0.3300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sepp Straka finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-SSTR

The Masters: Will Sepp Straka make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Sepp Straka
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 1398

YES ask: 0.8800
NO ask: 0.1900
Last: 0.9800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sepp Straka has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:21:35Z

Reasoning: To finish top 20, a player must complete all four rounds, which requires making the cut. The reverse is not true — making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue