Pair #7975

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-MAST26-SES

The Masters: Will Sepp Straka finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Sepp Straka
Expiration: 2026-04-13T02:00:00Z
Volume: 16066

YES ask: 0.0800
NO ask: 0.9500
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sepp Straka finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-MAST26-SSTR

The Masters: Will Sepp Straka make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Sepp Straka
Expiration: 2026-04-11T10:00:00Z
Volume: 1398

YES ask: 0.8800
NO ask: 0.1900
Last: 0.9800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sepp Straka has made the cut at the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:21:35Z

Reasoning: To finish top 10 in the Masters, a player must complete all four rounds, which requires making the cut. If Straka finishes top 10, he necessarily made the cut. The reverse is not true — making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.8300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue