KXPGAR1LEAD-VAC26-AEWA
Will A.J. Ewart lead at the end of Round 1 in the Valspar Championship?
Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: A.J. Ewart
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 44950
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
KXPGAMAKECUT-VAC26-AEWA
Valspar Championship: Will A.J. Ewart make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: A.J. Ewart
Expiration: 2026-04-05T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1378
YES ask: 0.6300
NO ask: 0.5000
Last: 0.4700
Confidence: medium
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-19T08:09:39Z
Reasoning: If Ewart leads after Round 1, he has completed Round 1 and will almost certainly make the cut (the cut is typically after Round 2, and a Round 1 leader would need to play Round 2). However, in standard PGA Tour events the cut is after Round 2, so leading after Round 1 does not strictly guarantee making the cut — he could still miss the cut after Round 2. No strict logical necessity.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.6300
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A
Decision: rejected
Reviewed at: 2026-03-19T12:24:54Z