Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGAR1TOP10-MAST26-BDEC
The Masters: Will Bryson DeChambeau finish top 10 in Round 1?
Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-04-10T00:00:00Z
Volume: 37987
YES ask: 0.3700
NO ask: 0.7000
Last: 0.3600
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Bryson DeChambeau finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAR1TOP20-MAST26-BDEC
The Masters: Will Bryson DeChambeau finish top 20 in Round 1?
Series: KXPGAR1TOP20
Entity: Bryson DeChambeau
Expiration: 2026-04-09T23:00:00Z
Volume: 28032
YES ask: 0.6100
NO ask: 0.7300
Last: 0.5400
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Bryson DeChambeau finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Masters, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-04-07T08:20:53Z
Reasoning: If DeChambeau finishes top 10 in Round 1, he necessarily also finishes top 20 in Round 1. Top 10 is a subset of top 20.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.3100
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A